Portfolios (DAX, S&P500, Nasdaq, US Stocks)

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The overall market continues pointing in an upward direction. The ACWI (iShares MSCI ACWI index Fund) will continue to rise as long as it remains to build higher highs and higher lows.

 

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I wrote this a few minutes ago.I Decided to move here. The question is: Why do more than 90% of traders lose?

 

I wrote this:

 

I think the main reason why investors lose money is because they are lazy.

 

It is more important not to lose. Because there are many opportunities to make money in the market. And when there are opportunities, we can't be afraid. This is what I think.

 

But it is not easy. When we think it will be easy, we start to lose money.

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I saw that the "U.S. Stock Portfolio" has an emergency stop wrong. Not updated the emergency stop of DCT, and still appears the emergency stop of NCT (7.58), it was already closed. As nobody noticed, I see that nobody is paying enough attention.

 

 

Buy alert:

 

 

DCT INDUSTRIAL TRUST INC (DCT) with emergency stop at 6,46.

 

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Two additional tips to review before investing in a leveraged ETF

 

1. Decide first on the amount of leverage that is appropriate from 1x to 3x.

 

2. Before placing a trade, confirm the ticker. As this products have similar ticker between long and short version, double checking will prevent errors.

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As I have described, I observe the market direction in the indexes *, determine my market posture and I act in concert with the market direction. I think this is already assimilated by those who followed the portfolios until this point.

 

* Observe market direction in index or in ETF is the same, because the purpose of the ETF is to replicate the index.

 

On 09/04/2012 I observed the market direction through the ACWI (MSCI All Country World Index ETF) and later returned to do the same.

 

I not talked about ACWI, but from the description it is clear that is an ETF world.

 

When I analyze the global market, I use often this ETF.The ACWI is constituted by a large number of United States stocks (46.28%), UK stocks (8.25%), Germany stocks (3.14%) and stocks of various other countries.

 

Read about the ACWI: http://us.ishares.co...erview/ACWI.htm

 

When my market posture is bullish in ACWI that means, almost always, bullish also in the United States and Germany.

 

Now that I clarified better this part. I thought it might be interesting to create a portfolio for my market posture and I did it. The market posture is the key piece of gear that makes portfolios to move.

 

[duarte]

I think I'll buy again SIRI, but I still don´t know when.

 

 

 

I think it's time to buy again SIRI, responded well to the MA (50).

 

I´ll sell DCT and buy SIRI with emergency stop at 2,32.

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UPDATE

 

 

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Examples of websites where you can search stocks/ETFs quotes :

 

- Banks / brokers,

- MarketWatch - Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News

Place the symbol in the upper right corner.

[duarte]

I expect that overall market continues to go up, as long as the ACWI (MSCI All Country World Index Fund) continues to close above the previous low 47,20 and key support. If close daily below 47, 20, I consider the possibility of exit.

 

[duarte]

The ACWI reached the previous low.

It is still too early to know if this is simply a few days of selling or the beginning of a deeper correction but I'll put the emergency stop closer to the current price in all ETFs and stocks.

 

ISHARES DAX (DE) (EXS1) ETF with emergency stop at 65,74

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Emergency stop alert:

 

I´ll update the emergency stop

 

ISHARES DAX (DE) (EXS1) ETF with emergency stop at 65,74

S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) ETF with emergency stop at 144,10

ProSharesUltra S&P 500 Fund (SSO) ETF with emergency stop at 61,47

ProSharesUltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) ETF with emergency stop at 90,81

ProShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF with emergency stop at 68,76

ProSharesUltra QQQ Fund (QLD) ETF with emergency stop at 61,11

ProSharesUltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) ETF with emergency stop at 61,21

 

Rentech, Inc. (RTK) with emergency stop at 2,55

Wilshire State Bank (WIBC) with emergency stop at 6,38

8X8 INC (EGHT) with emergency stop at 6,69

ING GROEP NV (ING) with emergency stop at 8,32

Sirius XM Radio Inc (SIRI) with emergency stop at 2,46

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The US Stock Portfolio has no open positions at this moment.

The five trades have reached the emergency stop.

 

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DAX ETF PORTFOLIO UPTDATE

 

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There are no open positions in the other portfolios.

All trades have reached their emergency stop.

 

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There is only an open position, EXS1 (DAX ETF PORTFOLIO)

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If the market falls, then it will be possible to buy at lower prices and that is positive.

At this time, all hypotheses are possible.

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The EXS1 ETF (DAX index) has reached its emergency stop.

 

At the moment there are no open positions in the portfolios.

My current market posture is neutral.

 

Below is the DAX ETF PORTFOLIO.

 

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The following charts illustrate the evolution of the Portfolios since the beginning.

 

The black line illustrates the evolution of the portfolio and the blue line shows an exponential moving average.

 

 

 

 

 

The QQQ ETF distributes dividends quarterly. The last dividend was 0,20 on 09/21/2012.

Qty * dividend = 59 * 0,20 = 11,80. This amount I added to the "Nasdaq 100 ETF PORTFOLIO."

"Actual Value": 4277,63 + 11,80= 4289,43

"Closed trades": 37,63+11,80= 49,93

 

Curiously it was after the dividend, that markets began to fall.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The SPY ETF distributes dividends quarterly. The last dividend was 0,779 on 09/21/2012.

Qty * dividend = 28 * 0,779 = 21,81. This amount I added to the "S&P 500 ETF PORTFOLIO".

"Actual Value": 4325,95 + 21,81= 4347,76

"Closed trades": 85,93 + 21,81= 107,74

 

Curiously it was after the dividend, that markets began to fall.

 

 

 

 

 

The SSO ETF distributes dividends quarterly. The last dividend was 0,1180 on 09/25/2012.

Qty * dividend = 69 * 0,1180 = 8,14. This amount I added to the "S&P 500 DOUBLE-LEVERAGED PORTFOLIO ".

"Actual Value": 4445,01 + 8,14= 4453,15

"Closed trades": 205,01 + 8,14= 213,15

 

 

 

 

 

 

[duarte]

About a month ago, the ACWI rise after 11 days of declines. Now, there are also 11 days of declines, but the breakout not happened yet.

In perhaps a few days' time, I will understand better what the market is doing.

 

[duarte]

The futures market is rising.

I guess that the pattern will be repeated and the market will rise.

My current market posture is bullish. This means that I´ll buy ETFs and stocks.

I'll buy the almost the same stocks and ETFs, but this time I will not use the emergency stop.

I´ll use the emergency stop at a later date.

 

So...

 

I´ll buy:

 

S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) ETF

ProSharesUltra S&P 500 Fund (SSO) ETF

ProSharesUltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) ETF

ProShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF

ProSharesUltra QQQ Fund (QLD) ETF

ProSharesUltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) ETF

 

Rentech, Inc. (RTK)

Wilshire State Bank (WIBC)

8X8 INC (EGHT)

Sirius XM Radio Inc (SIRI)

LINKTONE LTD ADS (LTON)

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I picked 5 stocks which are in concert with the market direction.

All of the stocks mentioned above increased their net cash provided by operating activities from 2010 to 2011.

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Below are the Portfolios.

 

 

 

 

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I´ll buy:

 

ISHARES DAX (DE) (EXS1) ETF

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As was observed before, it seems that the ACWI (iShares MSCI All Country World Index Fund) is following the same pattern.

 

I expect that overall market (USA, Germany,...) continues to go up, as long as the ACWI continues to close above the previous low 46,48 and key support. If close daily below 46,48 I consider the possibility of exit.

 

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Below are the Portfolios.